Race 4A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Shannon 41.2% 26.5% 13.8% 9.3% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
James Amaral 15.9% 17.7% 18.5% 16.9% 11.7% 8.6% 6.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Griffin Brayer 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 8.6% 11.9% 21.5% 35.9%
Nicholas Memoli 6.7% 10.0% 12.3% 13.2% 13.9% 13.6% 12.5% 10.0% 6.1% 1.7%
Alexander Baskin 11.7% 10.9% 13.5% 14.0% 15.9% 13.9% 9.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.3%
George Luber 9.8% 13.2% 12.7% 15.6% 12.4% 11.9% 10.2% 9.2% 3.4% 1.6%
George Williams 2.7% 3.5% 5.6% 7.5% 8.9% 10.9% 13.3% 15.4% 19.6% 12.6%
Lillian Vincens 4.9% 6.8% 10.0% 9.3% 10.4% 15.1% 15.4% 13.9% 9.3% 4.9%
David Tampellini 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 6.4% 9.4% 14.1% 21.4% 33.3%
William Whelan 3.5% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 11.0% 11.4% 13.8% 15.8% 14.4% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.