Race 5A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nicholas Memoli 9.7% 9.4% 11.8% 12.1% 14.7% 11.6% 13.9% 8.9% 6.0% 1.9%
Sam Shannon 39.9% 24.7% 17.0% 9.8% 5.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Amaral 15.5% 18.3% 16.8% 15.8% 14.3% 9.0% 6.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
George Luber 7.8% 13.6% 14.6% 13.8% 13.4% 14.3% 9.2% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Alexander Baskin 10.5% 12.3% 13.4% 15.6% 14.7% 13.5% 8.7% 5.5% 4.4% 1.4%
William Whelan 5.1% 5.2% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 12.9% 15.7% 14.8% 14.3% 8.5%
Griffin Brayer 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 9.0% 15.7% 21.5% 33.0%
Lillian Vincens 5.2% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 11.7% 13.9% 13.9% 14.4% 9.9% 5.4%
David Tampellini 2.1% 1.8% 3.3% 3.9% 3.9% 7.1% 8.5% 13.6% 20.9% 34.9%
George Williams 2.8% 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 8.7% 9.7% 13.2% 15.9% 18.4% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.