← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University2.63+1.25vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire1.74+1.64vs Predicted
-
4Bentley University1.03+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.34vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College1.26-1.50vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+0.85vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut0.19-1.14vs Predicted
-
9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.42-2.71vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.64-4.17vs Predicted
-
11Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Salve Regina University2.630.4%1st Place
-
3.64University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
-
5.13Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
-
4.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
-
4.5Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
-
7.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.86University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
6.29Wentworth Institute of Technology0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.83Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.99Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 41.4% | 26.3% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| George Luber | 8.1% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 32.6% |
| George Williams | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 13.1% |
| William Whelan | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 4.7% |
| David Tampellini | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.