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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Shannon 41.4% 26.3% 14.3% 8.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
James Amaral 15.8% 18.6% 18.5% 15.7% 12.1% 8.8% 5.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 11.0% 14.2% 15.8% 12.1% 9.7% 6.5% 2.2%
George Luber 8.1% 12.6% 13.4% 15.6% 14.3% 12.1% 10.9% 8.4% 3.5% 1.1%
Alexander Baskin 10.8% 11.9% 13.2% 14.8% 16.1% 12.1% 10.3% 6.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Griffin Brayer 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 6.6% 8.7% 12.5% 22.5% 32.6%
George Williams 2.9% 3.7% 5.4% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 15.5% 17.3% 16.9% 13.1%
William Whelan 3.7% 5.4% 8.5% 9.3% 10.1% 10.0% 14.3% 16.3% 13.2% 9.2%
Lillian Vincens 5.2% 6.9% 8.8% 10.9% 11.0% 13.2% 13.7% 14.0% 11.6% 4.7%
David Tampellini 1.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 4.7% 8.2% 8.0% 11.5% 20.5% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.