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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.85vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+3.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+4.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.32-1.19vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.93+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.26+0.23vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.93-1.11vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.97-2.12vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.85-2.04vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.63-1.06vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-2.54-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85U. S. Naval Academy1.7949.4%1st Place
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5.87Washington College-0.794.0%1st Place
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2.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8621.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.1%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.6%1st Place
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6.39Unknown School-0.932.7%1st Place
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7.23University of Delaware-1.262.7%1st Place
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6.89Drexel University-0.932.5%1st Place
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6.88Princeton University-0.972.5%1st Place
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7.96Catholic University of America-1.851.6%1st Place
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9.94St. John's College-2.630.4%1st Place
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9.88Syracuse University-2.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 49.4% | 28.4% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 21.0% | 26.5% | 22.0% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 10.1% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.6% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 7.7% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 37.5% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.