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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.74+2.43vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.03+2.81vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.63-1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+2.13vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.26-1.81vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-1.73vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.65vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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4.81Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.14Salve Regina University2.630.4%1st Place
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7.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.19Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.43Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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4.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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7.26Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 17.1% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 41.3% | 27.8% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 22.8% | 34.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 11.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 7.4% |
| George Williams | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 15.0% |
| George Luber | 11.0% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| David Tampellini | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 24.6% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.