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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Bentley University1.03+2.72vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63-0.77vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.74-0.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.19+0.15vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.64-1.58vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.26-3.72vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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2.23Salve Regina University2.630.4%1st Place
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3.43University of New Hampshire1.740.2%1st Place
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4.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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5.42Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.28Middlebury College1.260.1%1st Place
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7.27Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Memoli | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 39.4% | 27.2% | 16.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Amaral | 17.2% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| George Luber | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| George Williams | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 16.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Baskin | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| David Tampellini | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 26.5% | 35.5% |
| Griffin Brayer | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.