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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+2.12vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.08+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.27+2.27vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-0.81vs Predicted
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6Bentley University0.76-1.77vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.23-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-2.65vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07-1.41vs Predicted
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10Sacred Heart University-1.60-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Salve Regina University1.390.2%1st Place
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3.67Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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5.27University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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3.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.2%1st Place
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4.23Bentley University0.760.1%1st Place
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5.27Brown University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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7.59Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.4Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 24.8% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 15.8% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 21.5% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Haidar | 12.9% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean O'Keefe | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Elson | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 24.5% | 25.6% | 15.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 16.9% | 32.5% | 31.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 24.7% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.