Race 3B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Arquit 19.7% 17.1% 16.4% 13.3% 11.7% 11.2% 6.5% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Adam Bilodeau 22.2% 20.4% 17.0% 16.3% 10.5% 7.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 22.3% 21.8% 16.7% 14.7% 12.9% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 6.6% 8.2% 10.8% 11.3% 13.8% 16.7% 16.4% 11.0% 4.3% 0.9%
Julia Haidar 12.6% 11.8% 14.5% 15.8% 15.0% 13.5% 10.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Danielle Elson 8.0% 7.6% 8.3% 10.7% 13.1% 14.6% 17.8% 13.1% 5.8% 1.0%
Sean O'Keefe 5.2% 8.7% 10.7% 10.5% 13.7% 16.6% 16.6% 12.4% 4.4% 1.2%
Graham Hughes 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 7.4% 16.0% 31.5% 31.1%
Isaac Bode 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 5.9% 12.4% 25.6% 27.0% 14.6%
Alex Cooper 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 3.2% 5.2% 11.1% 24.3% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.