Race 4B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ben Arquit 19.1% 17.2% 16.3% 13.7% 12.6% 11.2% 6.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 24.7% 19.3% 18.9% 14.7% 10.2% 7.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Haidar 11.4% 14.0% 11.3% 13.9% 16.3% 16.5% 9.7% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Danielle Elson 5.9% 6.7% 10.4% 12.9% 13.0% 15.0% 18.2% 11.8% 4.9% 1.2%
Adam Bilodeau 21.1% 23.6% 17.3% 15.1% 10.7% 5.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 8.3% 7.8% 9.3% 11.4% 13.9% 15.3% 15.6% 12.5% 5.4% 0.5%
Sean O'Keefe 5.8% 7.6% 11.0% 10.4% 14.0% 15.6% 17.7% 12.4% 4.2% 1.3%
Graham Hughes 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 7.7% 16.2% 30.7% 31.4%
Isaac Bode 2.0% 2.0% 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 6.7% 12.2% 24.6% 27.6% 14.5%
Alex Cooper 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.7% 5.2% 10.8% 24.5% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.