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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.08+2.09vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut0.19+1.54vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.07+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.27-1.72vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.60+0.29vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-0.13vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-6.36vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.75-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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2.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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6.46Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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7.29Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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2.64Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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5.98Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Arquit | 20.9% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 22.1% | 25.9% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| River Iannaccone | 9.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 30.3% | 28.2% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 26.1% | 48.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 30.8% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 23.7% | 15.7% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.