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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut0.19+2.68vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.08+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.27+0.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-2.32vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.75+0.02vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.67vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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4.68University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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3.09Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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4.27University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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2.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.3%1st Place
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6.02Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.33Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.52Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 27.7% | 26.3% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Ben Arquit | 20.3% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 28.8% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 6.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 29.9% | 28.9% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 22.6% | 14.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.