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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.39+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+2.54vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.08+0.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.19-0.59vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.60+0.28vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07-1.44vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.75-2.99vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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4.54University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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3.12Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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2.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.3%1st Place
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4.41University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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7.28Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.56Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.01Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Killian | 28.0% | 26.0% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 21.1% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 27.4% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 28.9% | 28.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 24.9% | 23.3% | 12.9% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 7.5% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 23.2% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.