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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.81+8.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.06vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+9.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92+2.70vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego2.19+4.17vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California3.16-1.37vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon2.76-0.71vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay2.30+1.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.72+2.86vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.71+6.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley2.12-1.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.07vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.88-2.98vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.40vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University2.21-7.45vs Predicted
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21University of Texas2.50-9.26vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis1.48-4.74vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon1.22-5.20vs Predicted
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24University of Washington0.34-2.54vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.92-5.68vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine2.83-16.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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10.07University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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5.71California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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8.12Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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13.17University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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13.0California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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15.86University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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20.23California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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18.07University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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15.02Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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12.55Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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17.26University of California at Davis1.480.0%1st Place
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17.8University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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21.46University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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19.32University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
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9.88University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| Travis Benton | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Erika Vranizan | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Proctor | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Wilkerson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Aaron Scull | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 35.3% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% |
| Jack Porter | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.