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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-1.85+7.24vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.79+4.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+0.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.79-2.11vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26+2.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.32-2.08vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.25vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.93-0.86vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.97-1.62vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-0.86-3.40vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.23vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-2.54-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Catholic University of America-1.851.4%1st Place
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6.24Washington College-0.793.9%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8620.0%1st Place
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1.89U. S. Naval Academy1.7948.2%1st Place
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7.72University of Delaware-1.261.9%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.6%1st Place
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6.75Unknown School-0.933.0%1st Place
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7.14Drexel University-0.932.6%1st Place
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7.38Princeton University-0.972.0%1st Place
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6.6St. John's College-0.863.5%1st Place
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8.77University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.5%1st Place
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10.29Syracuse University-2.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 20.0% | 24.1% | 20.6% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 48.2% | 28.1% | 14.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.6% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.