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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.08+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.27+2.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-0.29vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39-2.43vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.19-2.53vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.75-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-1.18vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.07-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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4.51University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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2.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.3%1st Place
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2.57Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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7.21Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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6.05Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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6.55Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Arquit | 19.9% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 27.3% | 23.0% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 29.9% | 24.7% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 16.1% | 28.5% | 28.2% |
| Danielle Elson | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 5.9% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 21.5% | 50.7% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 25.4% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.