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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34+1.77vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.08+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.27+1.52vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39-1.38vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.60+1.34vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.42-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.19-3.33vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.75-2.75vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.3%1st Place
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3.29Middlebury College1.080.2%1st Place
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4.52University of New Hampshire0.270.1%1st Place
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2.62Salve Regina University1.390.3%1st Place
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7.34Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.63Fairfield University-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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6.25Bentley University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Bilodeau | 26.7% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 17.0% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 29.2% | 24.4% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 30.3% | 31.3% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Danielle Elson | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Rebecca Biwer | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 25.2% | 21.1% | 9.5% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 22.6% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.