Race 1A

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karl Rasmus Sayre 11.2% 16.3% 15.2% 16.3% 12.2% 9.4% 8.5% 6.7% 3.7% 0.5%
John Roberts 5.4% 5.0% 7.7% 8.8% 11.2% 13.7% 13.4% 15.0% 15.2% 4.6%
Michael Trebilcock 9.7% 11.8% 13.3% 12.9% 15.4% 13.1% 9.6% 8.5% 4.9% 0.8%
Stefano Peschiera 43.3% 28.0% 15.9% 7.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 6.8% 7.8% 10.4% 9.8% 10.6% 14.1% 12.6% 15.5% 10.4% 2.0%
Max Thompson 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 10.5% 12.3% 12.2% 13.8% 12.0% 12.5% 2.3%
Jack Gonzales 2.7% 2.9% 4.3% 6.7% 7.3% 8.8% 11.4% 17.0% 28.4% 10.5%
Andrew Edwards 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 8.9% 76.4%
Daniel Lawless 7.5% 11.5% 11.7% 12.7% 14.1% 12.6% 13.4% 9.4% 6.0% 1.1%
Jack Famiglietti 6.1% 8.1% 11.5% 12.6% 11.6% 13.1% 13.9% 11.3% 10.0% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.