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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karl Rasmus Sayre 12.0% 16.7% 14.3% 14.3% 12.6% 10.1% 10.1% 5.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Michael Trebilcock 10.1% 11.3% 13.2% 14.7% 12.9% 12.9% 10.3% 8.8% 5.2% 0.6%
Curtis Woodworth 6.1% 8.0% 10.1% 7.9% 12.0% 13.5% 14.0% 14.3% 11.5% 2.6%
Max Thompson 5.6% 7.7% 8.4% 12.3% 13.2% 13.5% 12.8% 12.7% 11.7% 2.1%
John Roberts 5.6% 7.3% 8.0% 9.0% 10.6% 11.0% 14.0% 15.0% 15.3% 4.2%
Stefano Peschiera 45.3% 25.1% 16.3% 8.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.4% 10.0% 13.4% 13.1% 14.4% 13.5% 12.4% 9.6% 5.7% 1.5%
Jack Gonzales 2.1% 3.9% 5.6% 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 10.3% 17.1% 28.5% 9.9%
Jack Famiglietti 6.4% 9.1% 10.4% 12.4% 11.6% 14.2% 12.8% 12.1% 8.9% 2.1%
Andrew Edwards 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 9.5% 76.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.