Race 3A

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Peschiera 47.1% 26.0% 12.0% 8.2% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 6.2% 5.4% 8.3% 9.6% 11.2% 11.9% 14.2% 14.2% 15.0% 4.0%
Jack Famiglietti 6.5% 10.2% 12.2% 8.4% 13.6% 14.1% 13.2% 10.9% 9.7% 1.2%
John Roberts 3.5% 7.4% 9.2% 10.9% 10.8% 13.5% 13.6% 15.2% 12.7% 3.2%
Michael Trebilcock 10.6% 14.1% 12.7% 15.1% 12.8% 12.8% 10.2% 6.4% 4.8% 0.5%
Curtis Woodworth 7.4% 8.4% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 11.3% 12.5% 13.5% 10.5% 2.3%
Max Thompson 4.8% 8.2% 11.1% 11.7% 13.7% 12.7% 13.1% 13.9% 8.4% 2.4%
Jack Gonzales 2.9% 3.3% 7.2% 6.4% 7.5% 8.7% 11.1% 16.3% 26.8% 9.8%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.6% 16.1% 16.6% 16.6% 12.5% 10.6% 8.8% 5.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Andrew Edwards 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 9.8% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.