Race 4A

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Peschiera 47.1% 26.5% 13.1% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 7.6% 7.7% 12.2% 13.4% 11.4% 12.7% 12.2% 11.6% 9.9% 1.3%
Michael Trebilcock 10.7% 12.0% 12.6% 14.6% 13.6% 13.4% 11.1% 7.3% 4.2% 0.5%
Max Thompson 4.5% 8.4% 11.8% 12.5% 12.3% 13.4% 13.7% 10.5% 10.8% 2.1%
Stephan VerHulst 5.3% 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 12.3% 12.1% 13.7% 16.5% 11.8% 4.4%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 12.1% 16.4% 15.4% 16.3% 13.4% 10.2% 8.4% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5%
John Roberts 4.4% 6.6% 8.6% 9.8% 12.1% 12.4% 13.4% 15.7% 13.3% 3.7%
Curtis Woodworth 5.5% 9.0% 11.3% 12.1% 11.9% 12.0% 11.8% 13.5% 11.2% 1.7%
Jack Gonzales 2.4% 4.7% 5.7% 5.9% 7.7% 9.6% 11.3% 16.3% 26.7% 9.7%
Andrew Edwards 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 9.9% 76.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.