Race 5A

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefano Peschiera 47.3% 24.9% 14.4% 7.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Thompson 7.3% 7.3% 10.4% 11.0% 12.5% 11.7% 12.5% 13.5% 11.4% 2.4%
Stephan VerHulst 5.6% 6.7% 8.6% 7.0% 10.7% 13.4% 14.3% 15.6% 14.7% 3.4%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.9% 16.2% 16.9% 15.8% 14.2% 10.1% 9.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Jack Gonzales 3.4% 4.6% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.3% 10.8% 15.9% 26.6% 9.8%
Michael Trebilcock 10.3% 13.4% 14.2% 14.4% 14.0% 11.6% 9.6% 8.2% 3.8% 0.5%
Curtis Woodworth 5.2% 8.2% 10.5% 12.4% 11.9% 14.9% 12.9% 12.1% 9.8% 2.1%
Jack Famiglietti 6.0% 10.6% 11.3% 13.3% 12.5% 13.3% 12.5% 11.7% 7.3% 1.5%
John Roberts 4.6% 7.3% 6.9% 11.1% 12.2% 11.1% 14.2% 14.6% 14.4% 3.6%
Andrew Edwards 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 3.0% 3.2% 3.7% 9.4% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.