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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Trebilcock 10.9% 13.0% 15.5% 14.0% 13.0% 11.5% 9.6% 6.6% 5.0% 0.9%
Stefano Peschiera 45.8% 25.5% 15.9% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 6.8% 9.1% 11.0% 10.0% 13.1% 14.8% 13.8% 11.7% 8.4% 1.3%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 9.9% 17.8% 15.3% 15.2% 15.3% 10.3% 7.3% 5.9% 2.7% 0.3%
Curtis Woodworth 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 12.0% 11.1% 13.4% 14.5% 12.8% 9.0% 2.8%
Max Thompson 7.6% 7.6% 10.7% 10.8% 13.2% 12.2% 12.5% 12.0% 11.8% 1.6%
Jack Gonzales 2.3% 3.3% 5.7% 7.2% 6.7% 10.1% 12.1% 17.2% 26.8% 8.6%
John Roberts 4.7% 7.2% 8.6% 10.6% 10.7% 12.3% 14.8% 15.0% 12.5% 3.6%
Andrew Edwards 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.6% 9.2% 76.6%
Stephan VerHulst 4.2% 7.6% 7.5% 10.9% 12.0% 12.3% 11.4% 15.2% 14.6% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.