Race 8A

saisa-coed-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.3% 12.1% 14.8% 15.1% 14.4% 12.6% 10.0% 5.7% 4.5% 0.5%
Sean Cornell 22.8% 23.7% 19.3% 15.8% 9.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Lawless 6.8% 8.4% 10.9% 10.1% 14.1% 15.5% 15.4% 9.9% 7.5% 1.4%
Stefano Peschiera 37.1% 28.1% 16.6% 9.8% 5.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Gonzales 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 6.3% 8.1% 7.1% 11.0% 16.3% 30.3% 10.6%
Jack Famiglietti 6.9% 6.8% 8.4% 10.6% 13.5% 14.3% 12.7% 16.0% 8.9% 1.9%
Curtis Woodworth 3.7% 6.1% 8.8% 11.9% 11.4% 14.7% 15.3% 15.1% 10.5% 2.5%
John Roberts 3.9% 5.3% 7.6% 9.4% 9.9% 12.6% 13.9% 17.3% 17.0% 3.1%
Max Thompson 5.2% 5.7% 8.9% 10.0% 12.2% 14.0% 14.8% 14.8% 11.2% 3.2%
Andrew Edwards 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% 9.9% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.