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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+0.04vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+2.33vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+2.29vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.93+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43+1.81vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-0.86-1.49vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.93-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.26-2.17vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-1.85-2.51vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-2.54-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91U. S. Naval Academy1.7948.0%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.3%1st Place
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3.04St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8620.2%1st Place
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6.33Washington College-0.793.4%1st Place
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7.29Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
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6.56Unknown School-0.933.3%1st Place
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8.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.6%1st Place
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6.51St. John's College-0.863.1%1st Place
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7.13Drexel University-0.932.5%1st Place
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7.83University of Delaware-1.261.7%1st Place
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8.49Catholic University of America-1.851.9%1st Place
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10.11Syracuse University-2.540.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 48.0% | 27.8% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.3% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 20.2% | 22.5% | 23.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| John TIS | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 18.1% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 13.0% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.