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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.20+2.63vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.72+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08+0.75vs Predicted
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6Clemson University1.88+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.36+0.25vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.08-2.23vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38-3.77vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.33-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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3.01University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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6.19Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.25University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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5.77Florida State University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.23Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.39North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 40.4% | 26.1% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 22.3% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 2.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 7.8% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 2.4% |
| John Roberts | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 4.9% |
| Jack Gonzales | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 29.0% | 9.9% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.