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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+0.91vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.45vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.20-0.59vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-0.86vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.36-1.92vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.33-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida3.590.2%1st Place
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4.45Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.71Florida State University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Florida2.200.1%1st Place
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6.14Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.06Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.08University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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9.36North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 40.6% | 28.0% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 22.8% | 26.2% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.7% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 2.4% |
| Max Thompson | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| John Roberts | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 3.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 27.6% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.