← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sean Cornell 25.1% 25.6% 16.9% 14.5% 8.4% 5.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefano Peschiera 38.8% 26.9% 19.3% 8.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Karl Rasmus Sayre 10.5% 10.0% 14.9% 14.4% 17.3% 14.1% 9.7% 5.8% 3.0% 0.3%
Jack Famiglietti 4.4% 8.0% 10.7% 13.9% 11.9% 15.4% 14.0% 11.2% 8.6% 1.9%
Stephan VerHulst 4.6% 6.3% 7.6% 8.8% 9.8% 12.1% 17.2% 15.6% 13.4% 4.6%
Max Thompson 6.0% 7.5% 7.3% 11.6% 13.6% 13.4% 13.3% 13.4% 11.5% 2.4%
Curtis Woodworth 4.2% 6.6% 9.5% 11.2% 13.2% 13.6% 15.8% 14.0% 9.3% 2.6%
Jack Gonzales 2.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.9% 7.0% 9.1% 11.6% 16.8% 28.5% 9.6%
John Roberts 4.1% 5.0% 8.2% 9.7% 12.1% 13.1% 12.5% 17.0% 15.1% 3.2%
Andrew Edwards 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 4.5% 10.4% 75.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.