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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+1.90vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+0.21vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.20+1.44vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.88+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-0.34vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.08-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.36-0.91vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.88-2.92vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.33-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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2.21College of Charleston4.090.4%1st Place
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4.48Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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6.09Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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5.71Florida State University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.09University of South Carolina1.360.0%1st Place
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6.08Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.35North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 25.1% | 25.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 38.8% | 26.9% | 19.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 10.5% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 4.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 4.6% |
| Max Thompson | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Gonzales | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 28.5% | 9.6% |
| John Roberts | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 10.4% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.