Race 1B

saisa-coed-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Cusick 43.5% 24.1% 14.8% 9.2% 5.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 14.0% 16.7% 18.2% 15.0% 13.3% 10.8% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Samuel Armington 9.6% 12.2% 11.1% 13.7% 15.1% 14.4% 12.1% 7.9% 3.4% 0.5%
Michael Sanandajian 7.9% 12.4% 15.8% 15.1% 13.4% 13.4% 10.8% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Kyle Magno 6.0% 7.2% 8.3% 9.4% 11.1% 15.0% 14.8% 15.0% 9.6% 3.6%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.5% 7.3% 10.3% 14.2% 18.6% 19.7% 9.7%
Ethan Lounsbury 9.2% 12.4% 14.2% 15.8% 14.8% 13.3% 10.5% 7.2% 2.0% 0.6%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.9% 6.8% 8.2% 9.1% 12.5% 12.0% 14.5% 16.1% 12.6% 4.3%
Abbie Probst 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 10.9% 15.3% 30.3% 22.2%
Jacqueline Welles 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 3.4% 4.7% 7.9% 18.1% 58.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.