Race 3B

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Cusick 42.5% 25.7% 14.6% 8.3% 5.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 9.6% 9.8% 14.8% 14.5% 14.9% 12.6% 11.6% 7.3% 4.1% 0.8%
Abbie Probst 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 3.3% 5.0% 6.6% 7.6% 17.3% 29.8% 22.9%
Jason D'Agostino 12.6% 17.7% 19.3% 15.1% 13.2% 10.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Ethan Lounsbury 11.4% 11.1% 13.5% 14.4% 14.6% 14.8% 10.4% 6.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Michael Sanandajian 9.6% 14.0% 12.2% 14.4% 14.3% 13.1% 10.4% 7.9% 3.5% 0.6%
Kyle Magno 4.4% 7.0% 8.9% 11.3% 9.8% 15.4% 16.9% 15.0% 7.5% 3.8%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 3.0% 4.3% 5.9% 7.5% 8.8% 10.2% 13.0% 18.9% 20.0% 8.4%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.1% 7.3% 6.3% 9.3% 11.8% 11.3% 17.3% 16.1% 11.9% 4.6%
Jacqueline Welles 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 5.7% 7.1% 18.8% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.