Race 4B

saisa-coed-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jack Cusick 42.6% 26.9% 13.6% 7.9% 5.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason D'Agostino 13.9% 16.3% 18.9% 15.5% 12.7% 11.1% 5.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Ethan Lounsbury 10.2% 11.7% 12.6% 14.3% 14.5% 14.7% 12.2% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Samuel Armington 7.6% 12.6% 14.2% 15.7% 13.9% 13.3% 11.5% 7.0% 3.7% 0.5%
Michael Sanandajian 10.7% 11.8% 13.0% 14.7% 15.8% 12.9% 10.8% 6.3% 2.9% 1.1%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 4.2% 3.9% 5.4% 6.1% 7.8% 10.9% 14.7% 18.0% 18.1% 10.9%
Abbie Probst 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.8% 5.5% 5.5% 10.1% 16.5% 31.0% 21.9%
Kyle Magno 4.6% 6.9% 10.6% 10.5% 11.7% 13.9% 14.1% 15.5% 9.4% 2.8%
Jeffrey Hayden 4.2% 7.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.9% 12.6% 15.7% 16.8% 12.4% 4.0%
Jacqueline Welles 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 4.3% 8.8% 18.2% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.