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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+6.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont4.60+4.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.33+3.77vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.76+0.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.28+1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.00+8.99vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University5.19-4.05vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-1.17vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.99-1.47vs Predicted
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14Washington College4.25-4.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.45vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.47-2.63vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.64-4.49vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.74-5.62vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.92-7.53vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.87-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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17.99Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.93Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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13.37Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.51Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.38University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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11.47Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 55.9% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Voss | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Blouin | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 6.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Britton Steele | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 22.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.