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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.19+11.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.83+7.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+5.05vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.82+6.19vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+3.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Texas2.50+4.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.72+7.82vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.76+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.16-2.45vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay2.30+0.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles2.63-1.74vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.88+0.94vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.81-4.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-2.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley2.12-3.54vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.34+3.39vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.42vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University2.21-7.37vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-15.24vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay0.71-1.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis1.48-6.42vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.18-5.76vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.22-6.96vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis0.92-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.98University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Hawaii2.820.0%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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11.88University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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12.77California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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14.94Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Washington2.810.1%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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21.39University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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15.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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12.63Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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20.52California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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16.58University of California at Davis1.480.0%1st Place
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18.24University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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18.04University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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19.26University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Alamillo | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack Porter | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 16.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Darrin | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Travis Benton | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Aaron Scull | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 35.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Peter McGrath | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Kelly | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 23.3% |
| Jonathan Wilkerson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.