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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.82vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.79+2.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.26+2.16vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97+0.76vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.93-0.31vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.93-1.78vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.79vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.54-1.33vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8U. S. Naval Academy1.7950.9%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.4%1st Place
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5.98Washington College-0.794.1%1st Place
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2.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8618.6%1st Place
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7.16University of Delaware-1.262.6%1st Place
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6.76Princeton University-0.973.2%1st Place
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6.69Drexel University-0.933.0%1st Place
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6.22Unknown School-0.933.3%1st Place
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7.78Catholic University of America-1.851.8%1st Place
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8.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.3%1st Place
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9.67Syracuse University-2.540.4%1st Place
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10.95St. John's College-3.360.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 50.9% | 28.4% | 13.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.4% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 18.6% | 26.5% | 23.4% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| John TIS | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 5.7% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 30.0% | 23.1% |
| August Bellanca | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.