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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+1.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09-2.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.25Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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4.74Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.9% | 25.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 16.9% | 19.3% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 30.1% | 10.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 22.5% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.2% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 20.3% | 29.6% | 10.6% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 25.4% | 63.6% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 49.2% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.