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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+0.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73-0.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-2.39vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.00vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.25Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Rhode Island3.090.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.82Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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3.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.2% | 25.2% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 17.3% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 23.1% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 29.5% | 10.1% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Jordan | 4.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.0% | 31.2% | 10.8% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 8.5% | 42.4% | 40.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 32.2% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.