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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.95vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39+1.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67-2.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University3.380.4%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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2.98Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.41Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 35.6% | 23.9% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.2% | 22.1% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 38.9% | 17.4% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 11.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 15.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 9.8% | 42.0% | 39.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 32.5% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.