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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+0.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39+1.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-2.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-2.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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2.47Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.46Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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2.94Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 13.8% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 32.2% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 16.0% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 38.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.5% | 23.1% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| David Rodriguez | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 10.0% | 42.1% | 39.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 6.4% | 32.1% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.