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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+1.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.79-0.17vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.79+2.83vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.26+3.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.32-1.22vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.93+0.32vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-0.26vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.85-0.31vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.93-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-1.66vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.54-1.33vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.36-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8619.4%1st Place
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1.83U. S. Naval Academy1.7951.1%1st Place
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5.83Washington College-0.793.9%1st Place
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7.15University of Delaware-1.262.4%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.4%1st Place
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6.32Unknown School-0.933.2%1st Place
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6.74Princeton University-0.972.5%1st Place
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7.69Catholic University of America-1.851.8%1st Place
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6.76Drexel University-0.932.6%1st Place
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8.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.4%1st Place
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9.67Syracuse University-2.540.8%1st Place
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10.96St. John's College-3.360.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 19.4% | 27.6% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 51.1% | 26.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.4% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| John TIS | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 7.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 29.9% | 21.3% |
| August Bellanca | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 16.6% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.