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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.72+14.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.83+7.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles2.63+8.09vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Texas2.50+6.84vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+9.60vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.21+6.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+5.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.19+3.47vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.92-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon2.76-1.41vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay2.30-0.10vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.88-0.05vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California3.16-7.87vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-9.13vs Predicted
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18University of Washington2.81-7.82vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.71+1.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley2.12-6.92vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-15.24vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.92-2.22vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.18-5.04vs Predicted
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24University of Washington0.34-2.58vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis1.48-8.14vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon1.22-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.34University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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9.95University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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4.89Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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11.84University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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15.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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13.38Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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14.2University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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12.9California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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14.95Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Washington2.810.1%1st Place
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20.14California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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19.78University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
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17.96University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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21.42University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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16.86University of California at Davis1.480.0%1st Place
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17.98University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Bozina | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Jack Porter | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Peter McGrath | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cowley | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hester | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 20.6% |
| Travis Benton | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Kelly | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Aaron Scull | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 34.6% |
| Jonathan Wilkerson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.