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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-1.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.39-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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2.93Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.48Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.2% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 24.6% | 15.4% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 22.8% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 37.7% | 16.2% | 3.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 25.8% | 63.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 9.5% | 48.5% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.