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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.39+4.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+0.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02-0.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36-1.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67-2.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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2.96Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.39Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Connelly | 4.5% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 39.6% | 15.1% | 2.6% |
| James Beatty | 31.8% | 26.1% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.4% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 16.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 9.5% | 41.7% | 40.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 32.9% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.