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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.39+2.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38-1.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-2.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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2.96Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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2.49Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.46Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.6% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 38.1% | 17.4% | 3.1% |
| James Beatty | 31.4% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 14.9% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| David Rodriguez | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 42.4% | 40.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 6.4% | 31.9% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.