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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+1.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.39+0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-2.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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2.96Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.2% | 24.9% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 16.3% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 15.9% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.2% | 24.0% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 39.7% | 17.3% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 9.5% | 41.6% | 40.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 32.0% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.