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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39+1.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-2.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67-2.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.25+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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2.93Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.43Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.5% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 39.0% | 17.3% | 2.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 20.6% | 24.7% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 15.6% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 9.7% | 42.3% | 39.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 32.1% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.