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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.39+3.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.02-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36-0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.35vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67-2.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.00vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.3University of Rhode Island1.390.0%1st Place
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2.97Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.41Yale University2.670.2%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 34.9% | 24.5% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 39.7% | 17.3% | 3.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.3% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 16.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.2% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 15.6% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| David Rodriguez | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 8.6% | 42.6% | 39.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 32.0% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.