← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.15+3.05vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.53+7.18vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.31vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.33+2.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.92-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.05vs Predicted
-
7Santa Barbara City College2.29-0.39vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.21vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.01+4.05vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.52+1.46vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.43+0.71vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine1.06-2.33vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.59-4.93vs Predicted
-
15Oregon State University-0.10-0.82vs Predicted
-
16Santa Clara University2.04-8.58vs Predicted
-
17California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-11.32vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles0.61-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Stanford University3.150.2%1st Place
-
9.18University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
4.31University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
6.55University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
9.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.61Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
14.05Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.46Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.67University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.07University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
14.18Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.42Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.68California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
12.19University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 15.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chuck Eaton | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Silas Barton | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 28.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 12.5% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Quanah Green | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 32.0% |
| Brandon Kirby | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Johannes McElvain | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.