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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.79+0.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+2.00vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.79+3.21vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+3.17vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-0.86+1.59vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97+1.33vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.85+1.23vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.93-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-0.01vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.54+0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.26-3.34vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86U. S. Naval Academy1.7949.6%1st Place
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4.0U. S. Naval Academy0.3210.9%1st Place
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6.21Washington College-0.793.4%1st Place
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7.17Drexel University-0.932.9%1st Place
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6.59St. John's College-0.863.1%1st Place
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7.33Princeton University-0.971.6%1st Place
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8.23Catholic University of America-1.851.8%1st Place
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6.73Unknown School-0.932.8%1st Place
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8.99University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.1%1st Place
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10.14Syracuse University-2.541.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Delaware-1.262.4%1st Place
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3.08St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8619.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 49.6% | 27.4% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.9% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 11.9% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| John TIS | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| Finn Halstead | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 46.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 19.4% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.