← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.33+4.38vs Predicted
-
3Santa Clara University2.04+4.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.92+0.86vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.43+7.59vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+6.41vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.94vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.16vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.59-1.11vs Predicted
-
11Oregon State University-0.10+3.13vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-0.01+1.89vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University0.52-0.48vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine1.06-3.23vs Predicted
-
15California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-9.36vs Predicted
-
16Santa Barbara City College2.29-9.32vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University3.15-12.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
6.38University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.4Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
-
4.86University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
12.59University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
10.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.3University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
8.89University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
14.13Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
-
13.89Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.52Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
5.64California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.68Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.21Stanford University3.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 17.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Kirby | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.3% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Louise Currie | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Quanah Green | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 33.2% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 26.9% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 10.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Johannes McElvain | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Marshall | 17.7% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.