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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+6.44vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.51+5.64vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+2.42vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.92-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.07vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.51+2.66vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.52+1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.34vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.04-5.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.36vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.01-1.03vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-6.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.11-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Stanford University3.150.2%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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8.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.0%1st Place
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6.27Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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11.66Oregon State University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.75Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.89Santa Clara University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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12.97Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Silas Barton | 6.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Chuck Eaton | 16.1% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.9% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hope | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.4% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Brandon Kirby | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Nikoline Alden | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 28.1% |
| Ben Brough | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Hopper | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.