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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+5.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+7.32vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.32+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14+0.09vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.21+6.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-0.34vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.32vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.60-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-4.37vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.08-0.59vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.17-0.84vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.52-4.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.62-1.68vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University0.21-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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4.69Santa Barbara City College2.320.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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12.05Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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8.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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9.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.16Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.84Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.32University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.84Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Theodore Bascom | 14.9% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 9.3% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Lena Captain | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Grant Lin | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 36.5% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.