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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.83+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+3.60vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+6.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles2.57+5.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.01+11.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+1.80vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+6.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+7.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.57+3.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Texas1.46+2.38vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.02+3.28vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.24+0.53vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.63+1.88vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.64+1.17vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.69-4.90vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis1.12-3.29vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.15-1.54vs Predicted
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22California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-11.64vs Predicted
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23Stanford University2.26-12.51vs Predicted
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24University of Southern California2.57-15.06vs Predicted
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25Stanford University2.90-17.50vs Predicted
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26Brown University3.69-21.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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5.6University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Los Angeles2.570.0%1st Place
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16.23University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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13.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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16.28Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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15.53Western Washington University1.240.0%1st Place
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17.88University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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18.17University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Davis1.120.0%1st Place
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18.57California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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19.46University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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10.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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10.49Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Peterson | 18.8% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hughes | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Amery | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Matt Marquardt | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Molly Utter | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.9% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Van Trigt | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Christina Stege | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.9% |
| Christina Wilson | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 29.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.