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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+2.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.32+1.92vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.79-1.11vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+2.33vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-0.86+1.54vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.93+0.74vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.54+2.19vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.93-1.76vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.85-1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.18vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.26-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8618.4%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy0.3212.3%1st Place
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1.89U. S. Naval Academy1.7948.6%1st Place
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6.33Washington College-0.793.5%1st Place
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6.54St. John's College-0.863.5%1st Place
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6.74Unknown School-0.933.2%1st Place
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7.25Princeton University-0.971.8%1st Place
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10.19Syracuse University-2.540.7%1st Place
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7.24Drexel University-0.932.7%1st Place
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8.29Catholic University of America-1.851.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.8%1st Place
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7.73University of Delaware-1.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 18.4% | 25.5% | 21.9% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 48.6% | 26.2% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Silas Hodges | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.7% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 47.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 10.8% |
| John TIS | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.