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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+5.08vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.60+4.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+2.15vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.32+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.96-2.31vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.40vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University0.21+1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-4.40vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University0.21-0.12vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine0.08-1.57vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.17-1.98vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.52-5.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.62-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.68Santa Barbara City College2.320.2%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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11.83Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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11.88Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.02Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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10.91Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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14.32University of California at San Diego-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Rohr | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Bascom | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Leah Ford | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% |
| Lena Captain | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Grant Lin | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 18.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.