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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.88+7.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+6.49vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.32+1.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+4.62vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.60+1.48vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.21+4.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.96-2.67vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.52+0.93vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-4.76vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-6.06vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74-6.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.39-3.57vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.17-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Oregon State University0.880.1%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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4.16Santa Barbara City College2.320.2%1st Place
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8.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.48Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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10.97Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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9.93Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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5.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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10.43University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.96Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levy | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Theodore Bascom | 18.5% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Finestone | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 8.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% |
| Lena Captain | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.